The US economy faces a new threat
'...The biggest danger facing the American economy for years has been inflation. Now, another problem is emerging as a credible threat on the horizon: Unemployment. ...'
Reference: yahoo.com
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News article references and commentary scraped from the web in an effort to inform the federal government worker on Federal Pay, Federal Benefits, Federal Retirement and all information relating to the Federal Workforce.
'...The biggest danger facing the American economy for years has been inflation. Now, another problem is emerging as a credible threat on the horizon: Unemployment. ...'
'...Homeowners insurance costs in the US hit roughly $175 billion in 2023, up 21% over the previous year...'
'...the puzzle around rent inflation, which is one-third of the CPI. It's stuck at 5.6% y/y and keeping overall inflation high. ...some worry that surprisingly-high demand and solid wage growth will keep rents high.
Most-convincing is this chart: Which highlights that the CPI rent number is currently higher than any of the private measures of rent.'
'...The cost of housing has been driving inflation of late, and Fed officials still expect it to decline and lead headline inflation lower.
But strong data keep undercutting confidence in a fast return of inflation to the Fed's 2% target. Some of the alternate shelter indicators watched by policymakers have shown no clear break yet. ...With inflation running faster-than-expected through the first months of this year, the Fed is "not quite sure it has done enough to derail inflation and cut rates; a further acceleration in inflation would force the Fed to consider additional rate hikes," Swonk wrote.'
'The national average has rates up more than 20% in the last 12 months, ...He is hopeful this trend won’t continue as supply chains have improved.
“An insurance company would pay for a rental car for someone for two to three days and now we can’t get that part in for four to five weeks so insurance companies are paying for rentals that much longer,” he said.'
'...The administration is also sending emails signed by President Joe Biden to an additional 380,000 borrowers in the public sector, letting them know they are one to two years away from getting the same debt cancellation. The latest student loan relief comes amid the president's bid for reelection...'
'Atlanta Federal Reserve President Raphael Bostic said inflation could "see-saw" if policymakers cut interest rates too soon, warning that inflation's descent towards the central bank's 2% goal was likely to slow in the months ahead, the Financial Times reported on Sunday. ...'
'...virtually every aspect of the U.S. economy has been impacted by the inflation. The price of milk has increased 17 percent. Egg prices have risen 42 percent. Energy service prices have increased more than 11 percent. ...Kelley Blue Book reported in October that the average price of a new car has increased by $5,000 since the end of 2020. ...worst of all is the increase in the cost of new homes. nearly $70,000 more. ...The Biden administration and Democrat-controlled Congress are causing America to slowly but certainly commit economic suicide. '
'1 to 6.7% currently. In a grim indicator ...The average long-term U.S. mortgage rate edged up this week, pushing higher the borrowing costs for prospective homebuyers already facing a housing market limited by a dearth of homes for sale and rising prices. The average rate on the benchmark 30-year home loan rose to 7.18%...'
'United Auto Workers President Shawn Fain said he’s unmoved by an offer of a 21% pay raise from Stellantis NV as the strike against the Big Three US automakers entered its third full day. “It’s definitely a no-go,” Fain said Sunday on CBS’s Face the Nation. “We’ve made that very clear.”...'
'...lower inflation rate has not necessarily meant that prices have decreased," the group wrote in a study published earlier this month. The group said in the study that "key items" are still at "stubbornly high" prices. ...social security benefits have lost approximately a third of their buying power since 2000.'
'Inflation is projected to have risen in the first month of the year, defying optimism from investors and officials over a steady move lower seen in recent readings. While the monthly CPI figure likely rose in January, the annual headline number is projected to come down to 6.2% from 6.5% the prior month, according to consensus estimates compiled by Bloomberg. The Bureau of Labor Statistics' January Consumer Price Index (CPI) is scheduled for release at 8:30 a.m. ET on Tuesday. ...'
'It is shocking how many Americans are losing ground every month...Americans are facing the steepest pay cut in 25 years, according to a new report by the Dallas Federal Reserve.'...they are skipping meals. They’re dipping into their savings. Seventy percent say they’re looking for extra work to find a way to somehow make ends meet. “We’ve got a lot of Americans who decided to delay their own retirement because they don’t know how to make it in Joe Biden’s very cruel economy. The president is doing nothing about reducing those crushing prices.”
'...The company can't blame the hike on financial hardship, at least. Amazon's net profit jumped nearly 57 percent in 2021 to $33.4 billion — the lingering COVID-19 pandemic has been good for Amazon's core shopping business....'
'...Despite the incomplete nature of the recovery, influential voices are already calling for the Federal Reserve to guard against inflation by raising interest rates to slow the economy. The stakes in this debate are high. Macroeconomic policy (including monetary policy) that prioritized very low rates of inflation over low rates of unemployment is a key reason why real wages have stagnated for the vast majority of American workers in recent decades (as we have shown through our Raising America’s Pay initiative). Widespread wage growth will not occur over the coming years if the Federal Reserve prematurely slows the recovery in the name of fighting prospective inflation...'
Notes: Real Estate and Medical are what's driving inflation. Primarily, medical related economics are what is harming the economy the most while having the greatest impact on low and middle incomes.